Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 6.625001 7.718412 8.900151 10.267926 11.802893 13.467769 15.405447
2026-01-04 5.181897 6.644868 8.347338 10.457832 12.985675 15.897397 19.484895
2026-01-11 4.252429 5.878470 7.881626 10.496015 13.779939 17.728252 22.790134
2026-01-18 3.455177 5.112710 7.261245 10.194319 14.031572 18.814284 25.150510
2026-01-25 2.873140 4.526517 6.771164 9.960780 14.285053 19.844616 27.418391
2026-02-01 2.401935 4.018555 6.311616 9.693803 14.431136 20.694619 29.442136
2026-02-08 2.026503 3.593089 5.910098 9.449291 14.558233 21.487756 31.385059
2026-02-15 1.701292 3.196494 5.501117 9.143012 14.554074 22.072756 33.039479
2026-02-22 1.515696 2.996531 5.362335 9.211162 15.070735 23.378566 35.708955
2026-03-01 1.349209 2.804875 5.213370 9.242938 15.521729 24.595005 38.282485
2026-03-08 1.213197 2.647295 5.100732 9.315175 16.025519 25.894269 41.005477
2026-03-15 1.083462 2.482861 4.958348 9.322934 16.420779 27.038718 43.532270
2026-03-22 1.007640 2.412810 4.973458 9.592668 17.243893 28.859037 47.125081
2026-03-29 0.925772 2.319654 4.938108 9.772176 17.928126 30.491801 50.491596
2026-04-05 0.833542 2.191768 4.826193 9.808297 18.375159 31.770739 53.360717
2026-04-12 0.713034 1.984662 4.544907 9.522900 18.270029 32.180901 54.915855
2026-04-19 0.615668 1.812579 4.311647 9.302037 18.253453 32.718362 56.669554
2026-04-26 0.527770 1.647057 4.072890 9.049617 18.162674 33.124374 58.219814
2026-05-03 0.453254 1.500359 3.855847 8.818500 18.090465 33.548551 59.800146
2026-05-10 0.383741 1.352678 3.619486 8.529087 17.893661 33.752573 61.025725
2026-05-17 0.349034 1.291960 3.565340 8.593475 18.334449 35.024794 63.997131
2026-05-24 0.315469 1.228142 3.497290 8.623499 18.710501 36.196296 66.832002
2026-05-31 0.287672 1.175892 3.450105 8.691756 19.157991 37.499605 69.912717